BREAKING: Trump Strikes Back Against Iran - Stocks, Gold, and Oil Prices Skyrocket!

TL;DR

US-Israel strikes on Iran's nuclear facilities triggered Iranian retaliation and threats to close the Strait of Hormuz, sending oil prices spiking 15% overnight.

Key Points

• 1.Strait of Hormuz stakes: 1/5 of global oil supply and 1/3 of global natural gas passes through this narrow waterway daily, with Iran holding power to block it entirely.
• 2.Oil price projections: Even the threat of closure spiked oil prices 15% overnight; JP Morgan warns prices could hit $130/barrel if closed for a prolonged period.
• 3.Three scenarios outlined: Containment (days, minimal impact), Escalation (weeks/months, stagflation risk), or Shutdown (15–18M barrels/day disrupted, grocery/fertilizer/shipping costs explode globally).
• 4.Inflation math: Every $10/barrel oil increase adds ~2% inflation per the Federal Reserve; every 5% oil price rise adds ~0.1 percentage points to inflation within four weeks.
• 5.Household cost impact: A $10–$20 oil price rise could cost a two-driver household $200–$500+ extra per year, hitting low and middle-income families hardest.
• 6.Historical stock market data: Every major geopolitical event since WWII saw prices average 5% higher six months later; midterm year recoveries average 31.7% returns in the following 12 months.