Tehran Prof Marandi: Israel WILL Restart Iran War

TL;DR

Iranian Professor Marandi argues Israel and Netanyahu will restart the Iran war because the US cannot pursue an independent ceasefire deal.

Key Points

• 1.Iran always expected the US negotiations to fail. Marandi says Iran knew the US wouldn't reach a deal before the 12-day war, the 40-day war, and now — negotiations were used to show the international community Iran was willing to talk, not to achieve an actual agreement.
• 2.The US position shifted from unconditional surrender to accepting Iran's 10-point framework. Marandi frames this as a major Iranian diplomatic victory, saying the world witnessed US demands evolve dramatically over 40 days of conflict.
• 3.Vance lacked authority at the Islamabad talks and reportedly answered to Netanyahu. Marandi says Vance was constantly on the phone with Netanyahu during negotiations, and Netanyahu himself said Vance and other US officials 'report to him,' which Marandi calls damning.
• 4.Iran is actively rearranging its defensive and offensive capabilities post-ceasefire. Marandi says the 12-day war revealed shortcomings Iran needed to fix; during the 40-day war Iran was striking harder than ever in the final 15 days, disproving US claims that Iran had run out of missiles.
• 5.Israel restarting the war is considered virtually certain in Tehran. Marandi points to Israel violating the Lebanon ceasefire and attacking Lebanon again as proof Netanyahu is 'hellbent' on more war, with Iran preparing to retaliate against Persian Gulf Arab regimes it considers complicit.
• 6.Closing the Strait of Hormuz is Iran's economic leverage and it will not reopen it without control. Marandi says Iran made a deliberate decision to control the Strait after Gulf state bases were used to attack Iran; he also says the Red Sea will be shut down if war restarts.
• 7.Marandi warns a resumed war could trigger a global economic collapse worse than 1929. He argues the blockade is already accelerating economic deterioration, and full resumption of hostilities — including summer heat in the Gulf and regime collapse of Arab monarchies — would be catastrophic worldwide.
• 8.Lebanon is a red line for Iran because Hezbollah fought to divert Israeli forces from the Gaza genocide. Marandi calls Hezbollah fighters 'heroes of the era' who sacrificed themselves to protect Palestinians, and says Iran will not abandon Lebanon despite Vance dismissing the issue as a negotiating obstacle.