Glenn Diesen: US Hegemonic World Order Is OVER

TL;DR

The US hegemonic era is ending because failed attempts to weaken Russia, Iran, and China are accelerating the shift to a multipolar world order.

Key Points

• 1.The Iran war is fundamentally about regime change and potential balkanization, not liberation. With no legitimate replacement government ready, Iran faces either a brutal puppet regime or civil war, making this an existential threat that guarantees maximum Iranian resistance including closing the Strait of Hormuz.
• 2.US failures against Russia directly weakened the Ukraine war effort. Europeans face a triple shortage — manpower, weapons, and money — trying to buy non-existent American weapons for non-existent Ukrainian soldiers, and the Iran war has now made all three shortages worse.
• 3.Iran war could fatally undermine the petrodollar system. If Iran successfully expels US forces from the Middle East, Gulf states lose incentive to host US bases, reducing America's role as security guarantor and potentially ending dollar-denominated oil trade that funds the US AI tech bubble.
• 4.US hegemonic strategy consistently backfires by driving adversaries together. Pressuring Russia pushed it toward China; attacking Iran pushes it closer to both Russia and China — the opposite of the intended isolation strategy outlined in the national security framework.
• 5.Trump's Middle East escalation directly contradicts his own national security strategy. The US had to pull THAAD missiles and Patriots from South Korea to send to the Middle East, reversing the intended Asia pivot at the exact moment China competition demands maximum focus on East Asia.
• 6.Israeli and US strategic interests are visibly diverging. Israel wants prolonged US military engagement to eventually topple Iran over 5+ years, but Diesen argues this drains American resources away from its declared peer competitor in East Asia, making it a strategic mistake regardless of outcome.