Top 10 Crash Cities this Year (sell now)

TL;DR

Colorado Springs leads all major U.S. metros with a forecasted 7.5% home price drop in 2026 due to record inventory and weak demand.

Key Points

• 1.#1 Colorado Springs, CO: Already down 6.2% from 2022 peak; Reventure forecasts -7.5% in 2026 — highest decline of any large U.S. metro
• 2.#2 Denver, CO: Home values down 3.1% YoY (biggest drop since 2008); apartment rents down 6.4% YoY with new leases falling 18% in Q4 2025; forecast -6.6%
• 3.#3 Cape Coral/Fort Myers, FL: Already down 15% from peak; could hit -20% total; 12,300 homes listed; forecast -6%
• 4.#4 Austin, TX: Down 24% from peak ($553K → $420K); nearly 5 years of zero net price growth; still forecast -5% due to high inventory; overvaluation now just 2.7%
• 5.Florida broadly: Tampa (-4.9%), Orlando (-4.2%), and Cape Coral dominate the list; migration into Florida hit a 15-year low (down ~90% from pandemic peak) as insurance and property taxes price out locals
• 6.Other notable forecasts: Dallas-Fort Worth -4.5% (record inventory, low migration); Nashville -4.1% (19% overvalued, decade-high supply); Seattle -4.5% (77 average days on market, 10-year inventory high)