I can't believe this trial is real...

TL;DR

The Musk vs. Altman federal trial over OpenAI's nonprofit-to-for-profit conversion is absurd, with Elon having only a 32% chance of winning.

Key Points

• 1.Elon Musk is suing OpenAI, Altman, and Microsoft for $134 billion. Filed in 2024, the lawsuit claims Altman and Brockman stole a charitable nonprofit and converted it into a closed-source for-profit, with Microsoft aiding them after investing $13 billion.
• 2.The trial's leaked communications reveal explosive behind-the-scenes drama. In 2017, Musk tried to take over OpenAI as CEO with majority equity at his 'haunted mansion,' gifted co-founders Tesla Model 3s, then stormed out furiously when equal equity was proposed, eventually rage-quitting the board in 2018.
• 3.Sam Altman was fired for 4 days in November 2023 over honesty concerns. Ilya Sutskever wrote a memo accusing him of consistent lying and pitting executives against each other, while Mira Murati temporarily replaced him before he was reinstated with broad employee support.
• 4.Elon's legal case is considered weak despite OpenAI's questionable conduct. Polymarket gives him only a 32% win probability because he himself pushed for a for-profit structure in 2017, no hard contract required OpenAI to stay nonprofit, and he admitted XAI's Grok distilled OpenAI models.