Iran Update: Israel's Newest Bombing Campaign, the Oncoming War With China and How to Avoid It

TL;DR

Colonel Wilkerson warns that US-Israel bombing of Chinese Belt and Road infrastructure in Iran risks triggering a devastating economic and military confrontation with China.

Key Points

• 1.Israel and the US are bombing China's Belt and Road railroad in Iran. The route runs from China's Pacific ports along the Persian Gulf — the same WWII supply corridor used to sustain the Soviet Union — and its destruction signals a deliberate geostrategic message to Beijing.
• 2.China's overland rail network is a fundamental threat to US maritime power. Wilkerson argues Belt and Road railroads reduce shipping time to Europe from 2–3 days to 16 hours, potentially negating the Strait of Hormuz, Suez Canal, and US naval dominance of global commerce.
• 3.Xi Jinping's latest edict targets dollar replacement as China's final frontier. China considers itself dominant in every dimension of power except financial control, and is actively pushing the renminbi toward 60–70% of global transactions to eliminate US sanctioning ability via SWIFT.
• 4.Wilkerson calculates US sanctions have killed 38 million people since 2000. He compares this to Stalin's purges and Hitler's direct killings, arguing China views dismantling US financial coercion as a moral imperative, not just a strategic one.
• 5.A 2009 oil disruption war game showed how fragile global stability is. Simulating a terrorist attack on Ras Tanura (8 million bpd capacity), oil hit nearly $200/barrel and Chinese delegates had to pause gameplay to consult their Ministry of Foreign Affairs before making decisions.
• 6.Wilkerson warns global recession by June and depression by August if shipping isn't restored. He says economic collapse would accelerate China's push to replace the dollar with the renminbi, creating compounding chaos that even the US could not escape.
• 7.George W. Bush was the last president who understood the US-China relationship as primarily economic. Bush gave Colin Powell latitude to manage China policy and publicly repudiated Taiwan's independence referendum to avoid crossing Beijing's red line, overruling Cheney and Rumsfeld who wanted a cold or hot war.
• 8.Wilkerson says Israel cannot survive long-term as an ethnostate in the Levant. He argues it is destroying its own future by refusing a genuine democracy including Palestinian Arabs, and that its periodic bombing of Lebanon's economy is deliberate policy to suppress a regional competitor.
• 9.Pete Hegseth is systematically packing the military with Christian nationalist recruits. Wilkerson describes weekly OSW prayer services with reserved front rows for generals, baptisms of soldiers as 'soldiers for Christ,' and exceeding Congress's 4% cap on Category 4 mental recruits by teaching the entrance exam.
• 10.Wilkerson says AI and nuclear weapons together represent an existential threat with no treaty guardrails. Every arms control treaty from ABM to New START is gone, no empire in 5,000 years has had the means to destroy itself, and he does not rule out nuclear use as the American empire declines.